eia oil price forecast

Regional Motor Gasoline Prices and Inventories, Table 5b. "Oil and other financial markets reached all-time high levels of volatility in March," the EIA said. Crude oil Brent price forecast for next months and years. Sales, revenue and prices, power plants, fuel use, stocks, generation, trade, demand & emissions. EIA expects that the Brent crude oil price will increase from its 2020 average of $41/b to $47/b in 2021. EIA expects that U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, after. Crude oil, gasoline, heating oil, diesel, propane, and other liquids including biofuels and natural gas liquids. Release Date: December 8, 2020  |  The EIA’s July STEO projected an average Brent spot price of $40.50 per barrel and an average WTI spot price of $37.55 per barrel this year. Energy use in homes, commercial buildings, manufacturing, and transportation. State energy information, including overviews, rankings, data, and analyses. The lower-than-expected withdrawal is the result of warmer-than-normal November temperatures that reduced natural gas use for space heating. Reports requested by congress or otherwise deemed important. EIA expects LNG demand to continue increasing. EIA estimates that the world consumed 95.6 million b/d of petroleum and liquid fuels in November, which is down 6.3 million b/d from November 2019 but up from the third-quarter 2020 average of 93.5 million b/d. Forecast of Crude Oil Price (WTI) Below is a forecast of light, sweet crude oil prices that is based on prior values of both WTI and Brent crude oil prices, global oil production and consumption, crude oil inventories, currency exchange rates, and other commodity prices. The forecast for higher crude oil prices next year reflects EIA's expectation that while inventories will remain high, they will decline with rising global oil demand and restrained OPEC+ oil production. At 11:05 GMT, December WTI crude oil is trading $40.23, up $0.14 or +0.35% and December Brent crude oil is at $42.39, up $0.20 or +0.47%. EIA forecasts OPEC crude oil production will average 27.5 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2021, up from an estimated 25.6 million b/d in 2020. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects that Brent prices will average $49/b in 2021, up from an expected average of $43/b in the fourth quarter of 2020. In 2020, EIA expects U.S. residential electricity prices to average 13.1 cents per kilowatthour, which is 0.8% higher than the average electricity price in 2019. Tools to customize searches, view specific data sets, study detailed documentation, and access time-series data. Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $43 per barrel (b) in November, up $3/b from the average in October. Includes hydropower, solar, wind, geothermal, biomass and ethanol. EIA expects that monthly average spot prices will average $3.01/MMBtu in 2021, which is up from the forecast average of $2.07/MMBtu for 2020. Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $43 per barrel (b) in November, up $3/b from the average in October. Crude oil predictions and projections. Short, timely articles with graphics on energy, facts, issues, and trends. Reports requested by congress or otherwise deemed important. The EIA has once again revised downward its crude oil price forecast, cutting it by $5 per barrel compared to last month The increase in crude oil prices is expected to raise associated gas production from oil-directed wells in late-2021, especially in the Permian region. EIA forecasts U.S. coal production to total 521 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, a 26% decline from 2019. The reason for the downward adjustment to price realizations is the deceleration in the degree of recovery in oil consumption amid a spike in infections. Annual changes in regional residential electricity prices this year range from 0.4% lower in the South Atlantic region to 3.7% higher in the Pacific region. EIA's free and open data available as API, Excel add-in, bulk files, and widgets. For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar . Electricity generation from renewable energy sources rises from 18% in 2019 to 20% in 2020 and to 21% in 2021. U.S. crude oil production averaged an estimated 11.2 million b/d in November, up from 10.9 million b/d in September. In the forecast, monthly average production falls from a record 97.0 Bcf/d in December 2019 to 87.1 Bcf/d in April 2021 before increasing slightly. U.S. Brent crude oil prices will average $41.42 per barrel in 2020 and $49.53 per barrel in 2021 according to the most recent forecast from the US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook. The decline in total U.S. consumption reflects warmer temperatures in 2020 compared with 2019 that lowered residential space heating demand for natural gas despite many staying home in response to the pandemic. Sign up for email subcriptions to receive messages about specific EIA products. In November, the Henry Hub natural gas spot price averaged $2.61 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), up from the October average of $2.39/MMBtu.    |   Still, the EIA also expects global consumption to average 99.6 million barrels per day, just barely above projected demand of 99.34 million barrels per day. Price increases last month were moderated by significantly warmer-than-normal temperatures, which reduced residential space heating demand for natural gas despite many remaining at home in response to the pandemic. The nuclear share of U.S. generation remains close to 20% through the forecast period. EIA expects crude oil production in the Lower 48 states will increase from 8.7 million b/d in February 2021 to 9.1 million b/d in December 2021, as drilling increases in response to rising oil prices. Forecast natural gas inventories end March 2021 at 1.6 Tcf, 15% lower than the 2016–20 average. All Figures, Provides custom data views of historical and forecast data State energy information, including overviews, rankings, data, and analyses. Today’s EIA Weekly Inventories Report, due to be released at 15:30 GMT, is expected to show a 1.7 million barrel crude oil build. EIA expects retail sales of electricity in the commercial sector to fall this year by 5.9% and by 8.8% in the industrial sector. In 2021, the Brent spot price is expected to average $47.07 per barrel and the WTI spot price to average $44.72 per barrel. It expects 2021 prices to … The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has raised its Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price forecasts for both 2020 and 2021, its latest short-term energy outlook (STEO) has revealed. EIA expects residential demand in 2020 to average 12.9 Bcf/d (down 0.8 Bcf/d from 2019) and commercial demand in 2020 to average 8.6 Bcf/d (down 1.0 Bcf/d from 2019). The primary drivers of this increase are forecasts of colder-than-normal winter weather in Northern Asia and Europe and coal plant closures in South Korea that could increase demand for natural gas for power generation. Forms EIA uses to collect energy data including descriptions, links to survey instructions, and additional information. In its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook , the EIA projects WTI crude prices to average $45.07 per barrel next year. Oil. Short, timely articles with graphics on energy, facts, issues, and trends. Text Only EIA forecasts that planned additions to wind and solar generating capacity in 2020 and 2021 will contribute to increasing electricity generation from those sources. Lesson plans, science fair experiments, field trips, teacher guide, and career corner. Tools to customize searches, view specific data sets, study detailed documentation, and access time-series data. Oil prices started strong this year at $64/b in January. The US crude oil production forecast reflects EIA’s expectations that annual global petroleum demand will not recover to pre-pandemic levels (101.5 million bpd in 2019) through at least 2021. Brent prices increased in November in part because of news about the viability of multiple COVID-19 vaccines, along with market expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and partner countries (OPEC+) would delay or limit production increases planned for January 2021. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects that Brent prices will average $49/b in 2021, up from an expected average of $43/b in the fourth quarter of 2020. Financial market analysis and financial data for major energy companies. All Figures, Electricity, coal, renewables, and emissions, Provides custom data views of historical and forecast data Regional Natural Gas Prices, Table 7c. Milder winter temperatures in early 2020 led to less residential consumption for space heating, but this effect was offset by increased summer cooling demand and increased electricity use by more people staying home in response to the pandemic. Subscribe to feeds for updates on EIA products including Today in Energy and What's New. This is a decrease from an average of $64.37 per barrel in 2019 and reflects a forward revision of $0.92 per barrel for 2020 compared to the previous estimate. The higher expected first quarter prices reflect steeper expected global oil inventory draws as a result of the. Exploration and reserves, storage, imports and exports, production, prices, sales. “EIA forecasts Brent prices will average $47 per barrel in the first quarter of 2021 and rise to an average of $50 per barrel by the fourth quarter. Crude oil, gasoline, heating oil, diesel, propane, and other liquids including biofuels and natural gas liquids. Exploration and reserves, storage, imports and exports, production, prices, sales. The forecast for higher crude oil prices next year reflects EIA's expectation that while inventories will remain high, they will decline with rising global oil demand and restrained OPEC+ oil production. Weekly American Petroleum Institute Weekly Inventories Report Oil price forecast for 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024. EIA's free and open data available as API, Excel add-in, bulk files, and widgets. Release Date: December 8, 2020  |  ... EIA forecast a … EIA forecasts that the WTI price will average US$43/bbl in the first half of 2021, up from our forecast of US$40/bbl during the second half of 2020. Forms EIA uses to collect energy data including descriptions, links to survey instructions, and additional information. The increase mostly reflects greater production in the U.S. Federal Gulf of Mexico after hurricane-related disruptions. EIA forecasts Brent prices will average $47/b in the first quarter of 2021 and rise to an average of $50/b by the fourth quarter. The EIA cut its 2020 West Texas Intermediate crude price forecast to $38.24 a barrel, down 1.3% from the October forecast. Looking ahead to 2021, the EIA reduced its price predictions in its latest forecast. The group will also assess the state of global oil markets and petroleum demand monthly, adjusting targets based on market conditions. EIA forecasts Brent prices will average $47/b in the first quarter of 2021 and rise to an average of $50/b by the fourth quarter. U.S. Regional energy information including dashboards, maps, data, and analyses. Regional Retail Electricity Prices, Table WF01.   |   International spot and forward LNG prices continued to increase in late November, supported by reduced global LNG supply because of outages at LNG export plants in several countries and reported congestion at the Panama Canal, which affected westbound U.S. LNG exports to Asia. Come test out some of the products still in development and let us know what you think! Price: The EIA lowered its 2020 view on WTI crude — the U.S. benchmark — by 23 cents to $38.76 a barrel, and pulled back its price forecast for next year by 35 cents to $44.72 a barrel. Subscribe to feeds for updates on EIA products including Today in Energy and What's New. EIA forecasts that global consumption of petroleum and liquid fuels will average 92.4 million b/d for all of 2020, which is down by 8.8 million b/d from 2019, before increasing by 5.8 million b/d in 2021. Reserves, production, prices, employment and productivity, distribution, stocks, imports and exports. International energy information, including overviews, rankings, data, and analyses. The new Brent price forecast, ... EIA said. Full Report The first quarter 2021 average is $5/b more than forecast in last month's STEO, and the fourth quarter average is $1/b more. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects that Brent prices will average $49/b in 2021, up from an expected average of $43/b in the fourth quarter of 2020. EIA expects that total U.S. consumption of natural gas will average 83.4 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2020, down 2.0% from 2019. Although EIA still expects prices to increase in the coming months because of rising space heating demand and rising U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports amid declining U.S. natural gas production, the lower January price forecast reflects higher forecast storage levels this winter compared with last month's forecast. Uranium fuel, nuclear reactors, generation, spent fuel. In 2020, EIA expects U.S. residential electricity prices to average 13.1 cents per kilowatthour, which is 0.8% higher than the average electricity price in 2019. The increase reflects OPEC's announced potential increases to production targets and production increases in Libya. Maps by energy source and topic, includes forecast maps. EIA forecasts that consumption of electricity in the United States will decrease by 3.9% in 2020. Next Release Date: January 12, 2021 EIA expects coal production to grow because of increased coal demand from the electric power sector amid higher natural gas prices in 2021. EIA forecasts total U.S. electricity consumption will rise by 1.3% in 2021. This increase contributes to total U.S. crude oil production reaching 11.4 million b/d in December 2021. Comprehensive data summaries, comparisons, analysis, and projections integrated across all energy sources. Includes hydropower, solar, wind, geothermal, biomass and ethanol. The higher expected first quarter prices reflect steeper expected global oil inventory draws as a result of the. Sales, revenue and prices, power plants, fuel use, stocks, generation, trade, demand & emissions. Greenhouse gas data, voluntary reporting, electric power plant emissions. The forecast decline in 2021 results from rising natural gas prices that lower forecast natural gas demand in the electric power sector. U.S. U.S. Maps, tools, and resources related to energy disruptions and infrastructure. At the December 3 meeting, OPEC and OPEC+ participants decided to limit oil production increases planned for January 2021. Text Only Forecast coal production rises to 624 MMst in 2021, a 20% increase from 2020 levels. EIA expects Henry Hub spot prices to reach a monthly average of $3.10/MMBtu in January 2021, which is down from the forecast January average price of $3.42/MMBtu in last month's STEO. EIA forecasts residential sector retail sales will rise by 1.5% in 2020. The EIA forecast that Brent crude oil prices will average $43/b in the fourth quarter of 2020 and $49/b in 2021. EIA expects Henry Hub spot prices to reach a monthly average of $3.10/MMBtu in January 2021, which is down from the forecast January average price of $3.42/MMBtu in last month's STEO. The organization now sees Brent spot prices averaging $41.43 per barrel this year and $48.53 per barrel in 2021.  |  Greenhouse gas data, voluntary reporting, electric power plant emissions. EIA estimates that the United States exported 9.4 Bcf/d of LNG in November—the most for any month on record. Come test out some of the products still in development and let us know what you think! It expects 2021 prices to … ... U.S. crude inventories fell by 562,000 barrels in the week to December 18 to 499.5 million barrels, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday. On an annual average basis, EIA expects U.S. crude oil production to fall from 12.2 million b/d in 2019 to 11.3 million b/d in 2020 and 11.1 million b/d in 2021. Brent and WTI spot prices will average $41.90 per barrel and $38.99 per barrel, respectively, this year, according to the EIA’s September STEO. STEO Data browser › The first quarter 2021 average is $5/b more than forecast in last month's STEO, and the fourth quarter average is $1/b more. Lesson plans, science fair experiments, field trips, teacher guide, and career corner. In 2021, the forecast natural gas share declines to 34% in response to a forecast increase in the price of natural gas delivered to electricity generators from an average of $2.44/MMBtu in 2020 to $3.38/MMBtu in 2021 (an increase of 39%). Expected utility-scale solar capacity rises by 12.8 GW in 2020 and by 14.0 GW in 2021. WASHINGTON - In the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s January Short-Term Energy Outlook, EIA forecasts that the Brent crude oil spot price will average $65 per barrel (b) in … The Energy Information Administration (EIA) remains skeptical. Comprehensive data summaries, comparisons, analysis, and projections integrated across all energy sources. EIA Cuts Oil Price Forecast. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions at the State Level, 2005-2016, Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions at the State Level, through 2017, U.S. Oil and Natural Gas Wells by Production Rate, Monthly Crude Oil and Natural Gas Production ›, Midwest and Rocky Mountain Transportation Fuels Markets, East Coast and Gulf Coast Transportation Fuels Markets, Macroeconomics and Carbon Dioxide Emissions. Price: The EIA lowered its 2020 view on WTI crude — the U.S. benchmark — by 23 cents to $38.76 a barrel, and pulled back its price forecast for next … Although EIA still expects prices to increase in the coming months because of rising space heating demand and rising U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports amid declining U.S. natural gas production, the lower January price forecast reflects higher forecast storage levels this winter compared with last month's forecast. EIA expects total U.S. natural gas consumption will average 79.4 Bcf/d in 2021, a 4.8% decline from 2020. Real Prices Viewer ›, Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS), Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS). EIA expects that U.S. crude oil production will decline to less than 11.0 million b/d in March 2021 mostly because of falling production in the Lower 48 states, where EIA expects declining production rates at existing wells will outpace production from newly drilled wells in the coming months. The group had initially planned to increase its target by 2.0 million b/d. EIA expects that monthly average spot prices will average $3.01/MMBtu in 2021, which is up from the forecast average of $2.07/MMBtu for 2020.    |   The EIA cut its 2020 West Texas Intermediate crude price forecast to $38.76 a barrel, down 0.6% from the September forecast. The price is in US Dollar per 1 oil barrell. U.S.   |   In November, the Henry Hub natural gas spot price averaged $2.61 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), up from the October average of $2.39/MMBtu. Distillate stockpiles, which include diesel and heating oil, rose by 167,000 barrels in the week to 151.3 million barrels, versus expectations for an 886,000-barrel rise, the EIA data showed. Energy & Financial Markets: What Drives Crude Oil Prices? Energy & Financial Markets: What Drives Crude Oil Prices? The EIA, which delayed the report's release by a day to better assess the market, pegged its 2020 WTI oil price forecast at $38.19 a barrel, down 31% from its previous view. 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